World shares slip on weak China growth, dollar suffers mauling

Reuters . London | Published: 00:00, Oct 19,2019


A file photo shows the German share price index DAX graph at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany. — Reuters photo

World stocks slipped after China posted its weakest growth rate in nearly three decades on Friday, while the dollar was set for its worst week in almost four months having been pummelled by pound and euro Brexit rallies.

China’s economy grew a slightly less-than-expected 6 per cent in the third quarter, leaving traders hoping that the swift stimulus Beijing and the major global central banks have provided in recent weeks will fend off a more serious downturn.

Main European bourses fell a modest 0.1 per cent-0.3 per cent after Asia had been led lower by a 1.2 per cent slump in top Chinese shares. There was also a sharp reverse in car shares after a Renault profit warning.

‘You can’t get away from the fact that China is slowing, but it’s not slowing more than we thought,’ said head of global macro strategy at State Street Global Markets Michael Metcalfe.

‘We know that Q4 is going to be a soft patch, but to a degree policymakers are ahead of this, so as long as we don’t have an escalation of the trade war now I think markets can handle it.’

In currencies, sterling was taking a breather at $1.2850, having scored its best six-day streak in near 30 years on Thursday after Britain and the EU sealed a new Brexit deal.

Doubts about whether the deal will be approved in the British parliament were still sky high, though, with swathes of parliament members, who are either reluctant about Brexit or worried the deal is not a clean enough break, due to debate the deal in a rare Saturday sitting.

‘Whatever was agreed last night with the EU still has to go through the British parliament... the uncertainty surrounding that still hasn’t changed one iota,’ said James McGlew, executive director of corporate stockbroking at Argonaut.

The euro rested at $1.1125, not far from $1.1140, its highest since August 26. The dollar remained weak too having seen this week’s weak retail sales data and more US interest rate cut talk contribute to its biggest weekly slide since June.

Helping to alleviate immediate trade war worries, China had said on Thursday that it hoped to reach a phased agreement in its trade dispute with the United States as soon as possible.

Investors were also encouraged by upbeat earnings from Netflix and Morgan Stanley, but poor results from International Business Machines Corp and weak US economic data weighed.

Housing starts, industrial production and mid-Atlantic factory output all fell short of economists’ expectations.

Reflecting the cautious mood, the safe-haven yen strengthened, with the dollar falling 0.13 per cent to 108.51. The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes edged up though to 1.764 per cent, compared with a US close of 1.755 per cent on Thursday.

Eurozone bond yields were also nudging up with German Bund yields holding at -0.40 per cent, the highest since early August.

The Bund yield is now up 16 bps since Irish and British leaders said on October 10 they saw a path to a Brexit deal, which boosted risk appetite and weakened demand for safe-haven assets like bonds.

In commodities, oil fell on the China data, with Brent crude easing 0.52 per cent to $59.60 and US crude dropping 0.19 per cent to $53.83.

‘The China GDP print has weighed on short-term sentiment and we have seen regional stock markets and oil contracts edge lower because of that,’ said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at brokerage OANDA.

Crude demand growth tends to track economic growth trends, but Halley said China’s need for oil would not recede any time soon.

Underlining that view, Chinese official data released on Friday showed robust refinery throughput in September, rising 9.4 per cent from a year earlier to 56.49 million tonnes, on increases from new refineries and some independent refiners resuming operations after maintenance.

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